Over the past few weeks, the interest level
around EVs (Electric vehicles) has suddenly increased in the country, thanks to
the recent budget announcement by the finance minister about promoting electric
mobility, by reducing GST for EVs to 5 per cent and allowing income tax
benefits for EV buyers.While these sops must be lauded, there are limited
options for electric car buyers, unlike with regular petrol/diesel vehicles or
internal combustion engine cars or ICE cars, where the options are aplenty. The
automotive industry is reeling under pressure, with ICE car sales at 18-year
lows. The industry’s woes are compounded with the need for BS VI emission
compliance for ICE cars.
Electric car sales cannot revive
the struggling industry in the immediate future. But the benefits of electric
vehicles are too good to ignore. EVs help in curbing pollution in our
cities and towns through reduced carbon dioxide emissions. Also, electric
mobility can help reduce India’s oil import dependency. Currently India imports
84 per cent of its oil demand. A NITI Aayog report indicates that by 2030 India
can save 474 million tonnes of oil if 30 per cent of private cars, 70 per cent
of commercial cars, 40 per cent of buses and 80 per cent of two and
three-wheelers become electric.
Global EV scenario
Globally, EV prices are at least 50 per cent higher than those of ICE cars, and
the price is expected to fall to ICE car levels over the next 3-5 years. The
battery is the most important component of EVs. A Bloomberg report states that
the cost per kwh (kilowatt hour) was over $1,000 in 2010 and it is expected to
go below $100 by 2024. Research reports indicate that EVs will become cheaper
compared to ICE cars once the cost per kwh goes below $125.
The European Union is leading the
way in electric mobility adoption with new policies and regulations. Norway is
widely seen as a pioneer in the EV market, with over 20 per cent of new cars
sold being electric. The government offers subsidies, toll fee waiver and
special parking to aid EV adoption. The UK’s Road to Zero strategy is aimed at
removing ICE vehicles by 2040. The US EV market is expanding rapidly and is
expected to add over 4 lakh electric cars this year.A recent report suggests
that the world’s EV sector growth is healthy, and by 2025 the global market
will be worth $570 billion, with China leading with a market share of 60
per cent.
India’s EV journey
Electric cars have been around in India since 2001, but only over the past few
years have we seen the government’s active involvement with policy changes.
Since 2017, the government has made a strong pitch for electric vehicle
deployment in India through initiatives such as FAME (Faster Adoption and
Manufacturing of E-vehicles), FAME-2, Green Mobility Fund and Make in India. In
a bold move, the government is pushing for sale of EVs only after 2030.
As per The Society of
Manufacturers of Electric Vehicles (SMEV), there are more than 4 lakh electric
two-wheelers and a few thousand electric cars on Indian roads. With several new
electric cars and two-wheelers planned to be launched in the coming months,
adoption should improve. However, there are significant challenges.
Challenges and opportunities
A recent report indicates that 2.1 crore two-wheelers were sold last year, and
electric scooters’ share was less than one lakh. While over 3 lakh cars were
sold in FY19, less than 10,000 electric cars were sold. Despite zero road tax
in several states and government subsidy to the manufacturers, the high price
is a deterrent. But then it is a great opportunity for companies to innovate
and bring the prices down. The battery is the costliest component of EVs and
India is dependent on China and other countries for both the technology and the
supply of lithium for manufacturing batteries.
It is an opportunity for the
government to task the premier technical institutes, such as IISC and the IITs,
to come up with innovative battery storage/alternative technologies. Innovation
in reducing cost and improving charging speed for the mass market are the need
of the hour.The next challenge is about range anxiety, a term used to indicate
an electric car driver’s worry that the battery will run out of power before a
suitable charging point is reached.Newer cars are expected to hit the Indian
market with a 300-400 km range with a fully charged battery. This is much
better than the 100-km range cars currently in the market.
Range anxiety is all the more
serious as public charging infrastructure is almost non-existent at present.
Even with the infrastructure, it would take 45 minutes to several hours to
charge a car, depending on the technology used for charging batteries. While
people are used to instant refuelling with ICE vehicles, the time taken for
charging will be a dampener.There is a possible opportunity for companies to
create innovative replaceable/detachable batteries. This will significantly
reduce range anxiety and would make it convenient for the car and two-wheeler
users.
Standardisation of the charging
infrastructure would play a pivotal role. The government and the industry
should strive for indigenous technology using solar power for developing a
robust charging infrastructure. India’s electricity infrastructure needs
significant improvement to cater to increasing demand. Sustainable electricity
generation through mini/micro and nano grids can be the way out.
Disruption in the job market can
be another big challenge. Sample this: The number of moving parts in a normal
ICE car would be over 2,000, while an EV counterpart would just have 20 odd
moving parts. The fewer the moving parts, the lesser the need for maintenance.
This could affect the established petrol/diesel-based automobile industry
ecosystem, which includes service centres, spare parts manufacturers etc.
The present automobile ecosystem
has provided jobs to over 5 lakh people in the organised sector and several
lakhs of unorganised jobs. The government would do well to create a 5-10-year
road map that would allow for a gradual move towards creating a strong EV
ecosystem. Also, the government and industry should embark on reskilling the
existing workforce. For India to emerge as a global electric mobility
leader, a robust ecosystem involving government, industry and academia must be
created, with a charter to drive road map implementation and spur
innovation.
G Krishna Kumar
ICT professional and columnist based in Bengaluru
Email: Krishnak1@outlook.com